Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 2.278931 2.408468 2.549091 2.714610 2.906191 3.123720 3.393635
2025-09-28 2.109580 2.267111 2.445039 2.664467 2.933295 3.260161 3.702490
2025-10-05 2.048270 2.232155 2.446983 2.723178 3.080173 3.545326 4.238288
2025-10-12 2.014523 2.222304 2.472458 2.806728 3.262020 3.899859 4.962305
2025-10-19 1.945714 2.162853 2.429320 2.794535 3.310168 4.071758 5.459542
2025-10-26 1.894437 2.120571 2.403014 2.799517 3.379354 4.283726 6.107752
2025-11-02 1.826608 2.053051 2.338857 2.745951 3.354450 4.337737 6.468427
2025-11-09 1.778135 2.007447 2.300193 2.723912 3.373116 4.466630 7.061617
2025-11-16 1.736864 1.968902 2.268286 2.708232 3.398613 4.611078 7.791829
2025-11-23 1.698263 1.931960 2.236272 2.689468 3.416111 4.743075 8.603605
2025-11-30 1.675887 1.915158 2.230449 2.708273 3.496842 5.017938 10.238275
2025-12-07 1.619975 1.851843 2.157630 2.621620 3.388931 4.874958 10.042699
2025-12-14 1.591476 1.825488 2.136900 2.615844 3.426225 5.069069 11.802637
2025-12-21 1.551995 1.782990 2.091664 2.569384 3.386477 5.080257 12.684619
2025-12-28 1.546422 1.785873 2.110325 2.623269 3.534184 5.582394 19.717864
2026-01-04 1.547530 1.797649 2.141942 2.699865 3.736573 6.331529 77.114459
2026-01-11 1.523652 1.774031 2.120861 2.688570 3.763688 6.588356 NaN
2026-01-18 1.505495 1.757737 2.109786 2.693059 3.823771 6.987219 NaN
2026-01-25 1.473938 1.721837 2.068341 2.643826 3.764748 6.942633 NaN
2026-02-01 1.451537 1.698244 2.044518 2.623524 3.766460 7.132806 NaN
2026-02-08 1.431753 1.677819 2.024735 2.609071 3.779494 7.379844 NaN
2026-02-15 1.412167 1.657185 2.003957 2.591777 3.784440 7.602466 NaN
2026-02-22 1.402249 1.649937 2.003075 2.609071 3.870080 8.256525 NaN